Most Hilariously Wrong Technology Predictions of All Time

Some people have made bold predictions about the future of technology. Here are some of the failed predictions that are most shockingly bad and hilarious at the same time.
The Top Ten
"No flying machine will ever fly from New York to Paris." Orville Wright (1920)

Why did he specifically choose New York and Paris? It makes sense for him to doubt that a flying machine could cross the ocean, but why pick these two specific cities as destinations?

Also, the first flying machine to cross the ocean was a hot air balloon.

I sincerely hope that people today aren't as naive and don't think that what we have now is the best we can do. There will be new things - things that will far surpass what we have today.

Orville Wright made this prediction only seven years before Charles Lindbergh's historic flight from New York to Paris in 1927.

"The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty-a fad." Michigan Savings Bank (1903)

C.T. Bridgman, President of Michigan Savings Bank, told this to Horace Rackham, who wanted to know whether to invest in Ford Motor Company.

However, Rackham's intuition was obviously better. Despite the bank's advice, he bought 50 shares of Ford stock and became one of the original stockholders, as well as the company lawyer, chairman, and more.

Reality: In 2010, there were over one billion cars in the world, compared to only about 58 million horses.

Cars are faster, and the U.S. invested in paved roads, leading to the decline of horses as basic transportation.

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." Ken Olsen (1977)

That was until the internet was created. Now, nobody can live without it.

"Fooling around with alternating current is just a waste of time. Nobody will use it, ever." Thomas Edison (1889)

Thomas Edison underestimated Nikola Tesla's genius. Today, over 90% of the world's power utilizes AC electricity.

Edison had a motive against Nikola Tesla, but fortunately, his efforts did not prevent the widespread adoption of AC power.

Thomas Edison was skeptical of alternating current (AC). However, AC power is now the standard for home and office outlets worldwide.

"Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." Pierre Pachet (1872)

Just think - this kind of attitude held back our ability to understand our own bodies. We couldn't have gone on thinking that diseases came from bad air forever. Well, we could have, but it would have ultimately hurt mankind.

This gives me so much hope for any idea I've ever had shut down.

"Heavier than air flying machines are impossible." Lord Kelvin (1895)

Lord Kelvin was an eminent physicist famous for:

1. Devising the absolute temperature scale, now called the 'Kelvin scale.'
2. Formulating the second law of thermodynamics.
3. Working to install telegraph cables under the Atlantic.

And now they're a primary source of transportation.

"Everyone acquainted with the subject [light bulb] will recognize it as a conspicuous failure." Henry Morton, president of the Stevens Institute of Technology, on Edison's light bulb, 1880

Christmas decorations, lights in particular, would horrify Mr. Henry Morton.

"Cellular phones will absolutely not replace local wire systems." Marty Cooper (1981)

Marty Cooper's prediction missed the mark. Cellular phones have largely replaced local wired systems.

And now, in 2018, an estimated 4 billion people have cell phones.

"Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value." Marechal Ferdinand Foch (1911)

Haha. Just try telling that to the Air Force.

“The Americans have need of the telephone, but we do not. We have plenty of messenger boys.”  Sir William Preece, chief engineer, British Post Office (1876)

The Newcomers

? “There’s no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share.”   Steve Ballmer (2007)

Back when Microsoft and Apple were feuding with each other.

Steve Ballmer (Microsoft CEO).

? “The subscription model of buying music is bankrupt. I think you could make available the Second Coming in a subscription model, and it might not be successful.”  Steve Jobs (2003)
The Contenders
"Everything that can be invented has been invented." Charles H. Duell (1899)

Charles H. Duell was a commissioner of the U.S. Office of Patents. I think he deserved to be fired for saying this. How could someone who works for an Office of Patents say it?

"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication." William Orton (1876)

It's surprising that he would think this, considering that a phone allows you to send messages and talk to people in mere minutes, instead of relying on a postman to cross the country just to deliver a message and then return with a reply.

William Orton was the President of Western Union. He made this statement in an internal memo at Western Union.

Reality: Telephones have become indispensable in modern communication.

Reasonable for then, to be honest.

"Television won't be able to hold on to any market it captures after the first six months. People will soon get tired of staring at a plywood box every night." Darryl Zanuck (1946)

Darryl Zanuck was a Hollywood film producer for 20th Century Fox.

"The truth is no online database will replace your daily newspaper." Clifford Stoll, Newsweek, 1995

The article was entitled "Internet? Bah!"

"X-rays will prove to be a hoax." Lord Kelvin, President of the Royal Society, 1883

Some people today still refuse to acknowledge the existence or importance of X-rays, despite their proven value.

Haha, hoax! We can even see the gun in this image!

"While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially it is an impossibility.”   Lee DeForest (1926)

Lee DeForest, known as the "Father of Radio," had over 180 patents. Despite his skepticism, television became a commercial success.

“The idea of a personal communicator in every pocket is a “pipe dream driven by greed.”   Andy Grove (1992)

Andy Grove was the CEO of Intel.

“A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth’s atmosphere.”   New York Times (1936)
"Rail travel at high speed is not possible because passengers, unable to breathe, would die of asphyxia." Dr. Dionysius Lardner, 1830
"That virus [HIV] is a pussycat. It will not survive for a long time." Dr. Peter Duesberg, molecular-biology professor at U.C. Berkeley, 1988

If only this were actually true...

“Television won’t last. It’s a flash in the pan”. Mary Somerville (1948)

She was a pioneer of radio educational broadcasts.

"Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?" H.M. Warner (1927)

Who the hell wants to see constant dialogue cards?

H.M. Warner, co-founder of Warner Brothers, said this in an era dominated by silent films.

"There is practically no chance communications space satellites will be used to provide better telephone, telegraph, television, or radio service inside the United States." T.A.M. Craven (1961)

This picture was taken somewhere in Morocco, obviously in a very poor neighborhood, but look at the satellite TV dishes - they are everywhere!

“We will never make a 32-bit operating system.”  Bill Gates (1989)

I'm glad you did, because my computational physics projects would be pretty arduous otherwise!

Bill Gates (co-founder and chairman of Microsoft)

“The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to no one in particular?”  Associates of David Sarnoff (1921)

The wireless music box refers to the radio. David Sarnoff wanted to invest in the radio, but his associates were reluctant. The quote above reflects their response.

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