Top Ten Places Most Likely to Become Independent in the 2020sWith the Bougainville independence referendum having taken place some months ago, I've decided to make a list about places that might get independent in the 2020s. Geography always changes. New countries form, some countries disappear, et cetera. As of this century, a lesser amount of countries have been created though. in the 2000s, Serbia and Montenegro officially became countries and in 2010, South Sudan achieved independence. What will this decade release from its owners? Let's predict in this list.
As a Scottish person, I can quite confidently say that independence is very likely to happen in the next 10 years, especially in the wake of COVID and Brexit!
Scotland did have an independence referendum back in 2014 on whether to stay or leave the United Kingdom. A slight majority voted agianst independence, but now with the United Kingdom having left EU at last, there's now talks of a new referendum, as the scots want to be part of the european union. So we shouldn't be surprised if other referendum takes place.
Interesting list. I had heard about that.
Bougainville is the most likely candidate on this list for a number of reasons. The people there have been wanting independece for a long time since the independence of Papua New Guinea. The people in this region of the country identify themselves closer with the solomon islands though due to the island being part of the chain. On top of that they had a referendum a month ago in which a good majority voted for independence. It still isn't independent, but it's negotiating with the government of Papua New Guinea. This brings Bougainville #1 on this list.
New Caledonia is a small pacific archipelago in Melanesia, very close to Vanautu but it's currently under french authority at the time of this list. This the natives of this archipelago are known as kayaks and this place has been known for wanting independence. They did have a referendum in 2018 in which a slight majority voted for against independence. Another one is scheduled though for 2020, and if that fails, for 2022. But something tells me it will achieve its independence soon.
This is a known one that has been a bit in the news lately. Catalonia is one of the automomous provinces of Spain and the easternmost one, containing the second largest city in Spain, Barcelona and their official language, Catalan from what I've heard, sounds like a fusion of french and spanish. They had an independence referendum in late 2017, and while it succeded, the spanish government declared the referendum illegal, so protests are still continuing to this day.
This is probably the most famous example on the list. The kurds are an ethnic group situated in the middle of the Middle East, taking up an area consisting of eastern Turkey, northern Syria and Iraq, and western Iran. The kurds are the largest people group in the entire world..., without a state. The reason this isn't any higher is because no referendum has yet to take place and they've been fighting so long for independence that it's unclear when they will achieve it.
Chuuk is one of the four states of the huge archipelago in the pacific called the Federated States of Micronesia. The largest of the four states is Chuuk and it also contains the capital city. Ironically, this is the state that wants to break away. Well and an independence referendum is scheduled to take place in March this year. Let's see what the results shall be, shall we then?
So..., Bosnia and Hercegovina is a complicated place. It has three constituent people groups, the bosniaks, the serbs and the croats. Most of the bosniaks and croats like in the entity Federation of B-H, while the serbs live in Republika Srpska. These people have been longing for a re-unification with the Republic of Serbia, and they have threatened that if Kosovo declares full independence from Serbia, they will not hesitate to annex themselves to Serbia.
Basque is another spanish autonomous province, although this is located in northern Spain. This is a unique one because the basques, despite being located in europe, are not related to any other people group at all, and their language, basque, or euskara is not related to any other language at all, making it among the only language isolates of Europe. Therefore, some independence movements are sure to arise sooner or later. Although it's weaker than the one in Catalonia as of now, so it stays below said province.
Western Sahara is a region in northwestern Africa, currently under the rule of Morocco. This is the only piece of land left in Africa (mainland) that despite its enormous size..., still hasn't achieved independence. When the de-colonization began and Spain left this region, Mauretania and Morocco started fighting over this region. Mauretania eventually stepped down so Morocco annexed it. This made the Polisario Front, the independence movement here very upset. This is lowest on the list because it really isn't a relevant place in today's news.
This is a not so likely but a possible scenario, that North Korea (DPRK) and South Korea (RK) might merge to become one country, finally reuniting the two koreas after decades of political seperation. I doubt this event will happen this decade, but no one knows for sure if they will succed.